Analyst Coverage/Estimates

Analyst Coverage/Estimates

Firm Analysts
Baird & Co.
Peter J. Arment
Bank of America Merrill Lynch
Ronald J. Epstein
Canaccord Genuity
Kenneth G. Herbert
Cowen and Co., LLC
Cai von Rumohr
Credit Suisse
Robert Spingarn
Deutsche Bank
Myles A. Walton
Goldman Sachs
Noah Poponak
J.P. Morgan Securities, LLC
Seth M. Seifman
Jeffries LLC
Sheila Kahyaoglu
RBC Capital Markets
Matthew W. McConnell
SunTrust Robinson Humphrey
Michael Ciarmoli
UBS Securities
David E. Strauss
Vertical Research Partners
Robert A. Stallard
Wells Fargo Securities, LLC
Samuel J. Pearlstein

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

2.71

Sell

Strong Buy

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 4.52
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: 0.17
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: -9.04
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: 24.12
Yield (%): 0.56

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 3.32 4.35 2.22 3.43 8 2 2 -4.74
Annual 2.75 3.65 2.02 2.80 13 2 4 -2.66
Annual 2.47 2.70 2.22 2.49 13 4 4 -0.48
Quarterly 0.65 0.76 0.53 0.66 12 7 3 2.51
Quarterly 1.05 1.24 0.83 1.02 12 2 9 -9.85
Quarterly 0.59 0.65 0.48 0.62 4 -- 2 -4.08
Quarterly 0.64 0.70 0.58 0.63 4 -- 1 -12.60
Long Term Growth -12.76 -12.76 -12.76 -12.76 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 3/1/17 4.52 3.16 43.05
Annual 3/1/16 5.34 5.50 -2.96
Annual 3/1/15 5.73 5.70 0.56
Quarterly 9/1/17 0.52 0.48 9.21
Quarterly 6/1/17 0.24 0.85 -71.91
Quarterly 3/1/17 2.81 1.40 100.33
Quarterly 12/1/16 0.59 0.86 -31.38

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 17.08
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 23.12 24.96 21.98 22.41 3 1 1 0.01
Annual 20.92 24.38 19.24 20.19 5 -- 3 -1.27
Annual 20.00 27.13 17.21 18.61 7 -- 4 -1.31
Quarterly 18.08 18.08 18.08 18.08 1 -- 1 --
Quarterly 18.88 18.88 18.88 18.88 1 -- 1 --
Quarterly 19.46 19.46 19.46 19.46 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 20.13 20.13 20.13 20.13 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 3/1/17 17.08 -- --
Annual 3/1/16 19.06 -- --
Annual 3/1/15 43.33 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/17 17.24 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/17 17.19 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/17 17.08 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/16 19.79 -- --

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 5.71
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 4.44 7.22 1.80 4.37 4 -- 2 -1.05
Annual 4.73 12.92 0.77 3.88 7 1 2 0.22
Annual -1.00 9.88 -9.42 -1.16 8 -- 4 42.37
Quarterly -0.97 0.45 -3.11 -0.25 3 1 -- --
Quarterly -0.17 1.27 -1.73 -0.07 3 -- 1 --

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 3/1/17 5.71 0.60 844.58
Annual 3/1/16 1.70 2.86 -40.33
Annual 3/1/15 9.16 7.48 22.54
Quarterly 6/1/17 -2.01 -1.36 -47.76
Quarterly 3/1/17 9.20 1.21 657.41
Quarterly 12/1/16 -0.84 0.10 -940.00

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 0.16
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 0.13 0.16 -- 0.16 5 -- -- --
Annual 0.14 0.16 -- 0.16 9 -- -- --
Annual 0.14 0.16 -- 0.16 9 -- 1 --
Quarterly 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 5 -- -- --
Quarterly 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 5 -- -- --
Quarterly 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 3/1/17 0.16 -- --
Annual 3/1/16 0.16 -- --
Annual 3/1/15 0.16 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/17 0.04 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/17 0.04 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/16 0.04 -- --

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 323.19
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 304.44 356.40 206.00 329.23 9 1 4 -3.93
Annual 257.59 307.70 161.00 270.74 12 4 5 -2.86
Annual 172.00 224.30 140.50 166.14 10 1 8 -7.10
Quarterly 53.70 63.30 44.00 53.00 11 5 3 2.38
Quarterly 70.95 91.00 56.70 71.60 11 7 1 3.57
Quarterly 68.43 68.43 68.43 68.43 1 -- 1 --
Quarterly 71.59 71.59 71.59 71.59 1 -- 1 --

Actuals - EBIT

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 3/1/17 323.19 -- --
Annual 3/1/16 463.95 -- --
Annual 3/1/15 224.25 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/17 50.62 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/17 36.77 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/17 150.81 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/16 55.17 -- --

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): 500.13
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 414.88 521.30 306.40 436.70 5 1 -- -17.42
Annual 345.48 463.96 263.00 361.10 7 3 2 -4.65
Annual 253.54 314.00 211.30 236.50 5 2 3 -6.72
Quarterly 64.99 75.31 57.90 63.00 5 2 2 -0.22
Quarterly 78.73 88.06 68.10 82.00 5 2 2 2.08

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 3/1/17 500.13 -- --
Annual 3/1/16 -167.12 -- --
Annual 3/1/15 382.57 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/17 52.71 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/17 28.07 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/17 192.68 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/16 99.50 -- --

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): -0.87
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 3.30 4.35 2.22 3.55 7 1 4 -0.23
Annual 2.51 3.30 1.65 2.52 12 3 6 -2.63
Annual 1.33 2.50 0.84 1.22 12 1 10 -30.30
Quarterly 0.50 0.73 0.28 0.48 11 6 2 0.84
Quarterly 0.90 1.21 0.68 0.90 11 3 6 -6.56

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 3/1/17 -0.87 -- --
Annual 3/1/16 -21.21 -- --
Annual 3/1/15 4.68 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/17 -0.11 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/17 -0.04 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/17 -2.57 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/16 0.59 -- --

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): 1,126.67
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 1,403.01 1,511.64 1,089.36 1,459.25 5 -- 2 -4.78
Annual 1,475.44 1,659.14 977.40 1,582.53 8 1 4 -3.32
Annual 1,436.80 1,594.31 1,092.00 1,546.69 9 1 5 -2.73
Quarterly 1,575.50 1,587.71 1,563.30 1,575.50 2 1 1 --
Quarterly 1,577.97 1,591.13 1,564.80 1,577.97 2 -- 2 --
Quarterly 1,604.57 1,604.57 1,604.57 1,604.57 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 1,537.70 1,537.70 1,537.70 1,537.70 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 3/1/17 1,126.67 1,602.15 -29.68
Annual 3/1/16 1,396.34 1,424.25 -1.96
Annual 3/1/15 1,346.78 1,398.57 -3.70
Quarterly 9/1/17 1,398.34 1,480.82 -5.57
Quarterly 6/1/17 1,244.07 1,224.12 1.63
Quarterly 3/1/17 1,126.67 1,581.02 -28.74
Quarterly 12/1/16 1,622.92 1,597.99 1.56

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 223.35
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 161.70 211.40 110.50 163.95 7 1 2 -3.98
Annual 137.01 203.00 100.50 136.40 10 3 3 -7.38
Annual 118.42 180.00 44.14 120.00 9 3 4 -3.09
Quarterly 35.14 48.00 26.40 34.30 7 4 1 2.31
Quarterly 50.69 59.83 47.00 49.30 7 1 4 -7.07
Quarterly 32.10 32.10 32.10 32.10 1 -- 1 --
Quarterly 34.47 34.47 34.47 34.47 1 -- 1 --

Actuals - Net Income

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 3/1/17 223.35 -- --
Annual 3/1/16 263.28 -- --
Annual 3/1/15 292.14 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/17 25.70 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/17 11.66 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/17 152.82 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/16 29.33 -- --

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 273.07 306.50 228.60 284.10 3 -- -- --
Annual 218.90 262.70 167.90 226.10 3 -- -- --
Quarterly 67.75 69.50 66.00 67.75 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 74.50 77.70 71.30 74.50 2 -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): 25.08
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 15.47 18.44 12.10 15.88 3 1 1 -0.22
Annual 13.60 16.60 9.10 14.85 5 1 2 2.98
Annual 11.14 15.30 4.80 13.60 7 2 3 -12.20
Quarterly 19.90 19.90 19.90 19.90 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 16.80 16.80 16.80 16.80 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 3/1/17 25.08 -- --
Annual 3/1/16 17.12 -- --
Annual 3/1/15 13.22 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/17 16.73 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/16 3.01 -- --

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 3,532.80
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 3,276.60 3,543.20 3,047.00 3,254.29 10 2 3 -0.25
Annual 3,200.73 3,473.00 3,030.57 3,187.40 14 3 6 -0.90
Annual 3,131.10 3,184.74 3,075.00 3,137.80 13 -- 10 -1.37
Quarterly 767.41 791.20 712.00 769.00 13 2 6 -1.09
Quarterly 836.89 895.68 777.00 846.70 13 5 5 0.77
Quarterly 767.42 784.00 747.25 771.00 3 1 1 0.22
Quarterly 753.14 788.01 721.42 750.00 3 -- 1 -2.11

Actuals - Sales

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 3/1/17 3,532.80 3,537.80 -0.14
Annual 3/1/16 3,886.07 3,866.84 0.50
Annual 3/1/15 3,888.72 3,846.21 1.11
Quarterly 9/1/17 745.16 787.74 -5.41
Quarterly 6/1/17 781.69 803.19 -2.68
Quarterly 3/1/17 919.91 924.83 -0.53
Quarterly 12/1/16 844.86 857.71 -1.50

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Earnings Per Share (Parent)

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Net Income (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Net Income (Parent)

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Operating Profit (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit (Parent)

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Sales (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Sales (Parent)

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

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Triumph Group Inc is followed by the analysts listed above. Please note that any opinions, estimates or forecasts regarding Triumph Group Inc's performance made by these analysts are theirs alone and do not represent opinions, forecasts or predictions of Triumph Group Inc or its management. Triumph Group Inc does not by its reference above or distribution imply its endorsement of or concurrence with such information, conclusions or recommendations.